$22 Inside Regression With Don’t Come Bets
$22 Inside · Remove two winners · Add Don’t Come · Phase risk
The $22 Inside Regression, Don’t begins like the basic $22 reduction: collect and remove the first two different inside winners. Later Place wins fund $5 Don’t Come bets. The DC positions do not become a hedge until they travel, and even then the coverage is incomplete.
A DC in the box and a traveled DC behave differently
A new DC loses to 7 and 11. A traveled DC wins when 7 arrives before its number. Calling both positions a hedge hides the most important timing risk.
Stage 1: reduce the $22 inside layout
- Place $5 each on 5 and 9 and $6 each on 6 and 8.
- When the first active number hits, collect $7 and remove that winner.
- When a different active number hits, collect $7 and remove that winner.
- The rack now holds $24, $25, or $26, locking $2–$4 if the remaining bets lose to 7.
Stage 2: use later hits for DC entries
- Leave the two unremoved inside bets working.
- On the next active-number hit, use $5 of the $7 win for one Don’t Come bet and collect $2.
- If that DC travels, record its number before adding anything else.
- On a later Place win, make a second $5 DC only if the first position and total exposure remain clear.
- Do not assume two DCs will coexist; either can resolve before the next Place hit.
DC phase outcomes
| DC state | 7 | 11 | 2 or 3 | 12 | Box number |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New DC in box | Loses | Loses | Wins | Pushes | Travels |
| Traveled DC | Wins | No effect | No effect | No effect | Loses if its number rolls |
If 7 arrives while a new DC is still in the box, both that DC and the remaining Place bets can lose together. If the DC has traveled, its flat win offsets only part of the Place loss and may coexist with another DC or a different number risk.
One $5 DC, two different seven-out results
Suppose Place 5 and then Place 6 win and are removed. Their $7 wins plus returned $5 and $6 stakes put $25 in the rack against the original $22, while $6 on 8 and $5 on 9 remain working. If 8 pays next, use $5 of its $7 profit to place a new DC before the following roll and put the other $2 in the rack. The rack is $27; $11 of Place bets and a $5 DC are live.
If the following roll is 7 while the DC is still in the box, both the $11 Place layout and the $5 DC lose. The cycle still finishes $5 ahead of its original $22 outlay because $27 was already racked—not because the new DC hedged 7. If the DC instead travels to 4 and then 7 arrives before 4 in the same point cycle, the DC wins $5 profit and returns its $5 stake; the rack becomes $37 and the Place-only layout loses $11, leaving $15 ahead of the original outlay. A point change or different come-out working instruction requires a fresh status check.
Probability and accounting cautions
The first reduction still has approximately a 51.84% chance of removing two different active numbers before 7. Everything after that is path-dependent. A valid record needs the rack balance, remaining Place numbers, every DC phase, and any lay Odds as four separate columns.
- Do not add Odds until a DC travels.
- Do not call a flat $5 DC equal protection for a larger Place layout.
- State whether bets work on the come-out after the Pass point resolves.
- Stop adding DCs when the positions can no longer be explained roll by roll.
Start with the simpler $22 Inside reduction, then review the full Don’t Come guide.
