Author

Y ou will find many articles on our website written by John Nelsen or Steven Walters in partnership with our team of craps pros. John spent many hours working with our team of craps experts to bring you the most comprehensive set of articles and teaching lessons that provide you everything you need to know to play craps like a pro.

John is a retired engineer who worked with probability and statistics.  Numbers fascinate him, and that’s why he loves craps.  He knows the math behind the game, and numbers don’t lie.  As a result, he teaches you the truth and facts of the game.  He knows how to optimize the betting patterns to give you the greatest opportunity to win.  Bill has been our colleague and friend for years.

When we asked him to help make CrapsPit.org the best craps-learning site on the Internet, he didn’t hesitate to say yes.  Let us guide and teach you how to be a smart, solid player who the casino will fear instead of doing what many other sites do, which is to fill their sites with casino banners and serve weak content.

Thanks again for visiting CrapsPit.org!

  • Anonymous

    So this John Neslon guy writes an article about how dice control is a “scam” and “pure nonsense”.
    With that said how are you going to show us “how to optimize betting
    partterns to give the greatest opportunity to win.”? Everyone
    knows
    the lowest house edge bet on a craps table is the line bets. And trust
    me, you won’t be transforming anyone into a “player who the casino will
    fear” when you damn well know the casino has the odds in their favor.

    • crapspit

      Thanks __________, for your comment. We here at the Crapspit share the author’s view that dice control is, indeed, a scam designed to prey on the hopes and dreams of people looking to make a quick and easy buck.
      The idea of dice control is, indeed, pure nonsense as explained in the material here at the http://www.crapspit.org . Any craps player in the world will never gain an advantage over the casino when playing a legal game of craps (i.e., not cheating). Never. There are no skilled dice doctors, dice kings, or dice wizards who can consistently affect the outcome of a legal dice roll (http://www.crapspit.org/golden-touch-craps-review/) such that he gains an advantage over the casino. Any suggestion otherwise is either out of ignorance or to con you into buying something (e.g., seminars, lessons, books, practice tables, etc.). So get the idea of using dice control to consistently beat the casino out of your head. We believe that you are only partially correct when saying that the best a player can do is to minimize the house advantage by playing the Pass and Don’t Pass with Odds. However, as explained in the material here at the Crapspit, that can and does get quite boring after standing at the table for a while. Our intent is to help players understand there’s a way to play that can make their time at the table more fun and exciting by taking advantage of the distribution variances that do, indeed, occur over time (i.e., hot and cold streaks — http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/”). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (adapting to a cold table is just as important as adapting to a hot table). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance.) ). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/”). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance http://www.crapspit.org/craps-math/distribution-variance-casinos. )

      Thanks again for your comment. We encourage this type of dialogue because it serves to help everyone better understand the realities of the game, which is what we strive for here at the Crapspit.

    • crapspit

      Thanks __________, for your comment. We here at the Crapspit share the author’s view that dice control is, indeed, a scam designed to prey on the hopes and dreams of people looking to make a quick and easy buck.
      The idea of dice control is, indeed, pure nonsense as explained in the material here at the http://www.crapspit.org . Any craps player in the world will never gain an advantage over the casino when playing a legal game of craps (i.e., not cheating). Never. There are no skilled dice doctors, dice kings, or dice wizards who can consistently affect the outcome of a legal dice roll (http://www.crapspit.org/golden-touch-craps-review/) such that he gains an advantage over the casino. Any suggestion otherwise is either out of ignorance or to con you into buying something (e.g., seminars, lessons, books, practice tables, etc.). So get the idea of using dice control to consistently beat the casino out of your head. We believe that you are only partially correct when saying that the best a player can do is to minimize the house advantage by playing the Pass and Don’t Pass with Odds. However, as explained in the material here at the Crapspit, that can and does get quite boring after standing at the table for a while. Our intent is to help players understand there’s a way to play that can make their time at the table more fun and exciting by taking advantage of the distribution variances that do, indeed, occur over time (i.e., hot and cold streaks — http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/”). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (adapting to a cold table is just as important as adapting to a hot table). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance.) ). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/”). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance http://www.crapspit.org/craps-math/distribution-variance-casinos )

      Thanks again for your comment. We encourage this type of dialogue because it serves to help everyone better understand the realities of the game, which is what we strive for here at the Crapspit.

    • crapspit

      Thanks __________, for your comment. We here at the Crapspit share the author’s view that dice control is, indeed, a scam designed to prey on the hopes and dreams of people looking to make a quick and easy buck.
      The idea of dice control is, indeed, pure nonsense as explained in the material here at the http://www.crapspit.org . Any craps player in the world will never gain an advantage over the casino when playing a legal game of craps (i.e., not cheating). Never. There are no skilled dice doctors, dice kings, or dice wizards who can consistently affect the outcome of a legal dice roll (http://www.crapspit.org/golden-touch-craps-review/ ) such that he gains an advantage over the casino. Any suggestion otherwise is either out of ignorance or to con you into buying something (e.g., seminars, lessons, books, practice tables, etc.). So get the idea of using dice control to consistently beat the casino out of your head. We believe that you are only partially correct when saying that the best a player can do is to minimize the house advantage by playing the Pass and Don’t Pass with Odds. However, as explained in the material here at the Crapspit, that can and does get quite boring after standing at the table for a while. Our intent is to help players understand there’s a way to play that can make their time at the table more fun and exciting by taking advantage of the distribution variances that do, indeed, occur over time (i.e., hot and cold streaks — http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/ ). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (adapting to a cold table is just as important as adapting to a hot table). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance.) ). We believe a more “optimized” way to play is to take advantage of the distribution variance instead of mind-numbingly playing the Pass and Don’t Pass roll after roll. You are encouraged to browse our site to learn this “optimized” method. The method is no secret, so please don’t think we’re offering any newfound system. We acknowledge that it’s nothing innovative. It’s simply a rock-solid way to play the hot and cold streaks without relying on the dice-control con. And don’t forget, when reading the material on this site, make sure you read the material as it relates to adapting to a cold table as well as adapting to a hot table (http://www.crapspit.org/dont-fight-cold-table/ ). We understand but disagree with you your response regarding the phrase, “a player who the casino will fear.” You are correct that the casino won’t literally be afraid of a rock-solid player, but rather it may feel anxiety toward such a player who knows how to maximize his winnings during a hot streak and minimize his losses during a cold streak (i.e., the casino will likely think differently of you than the average player who plays less solidly, including the dice-control wannabes—that is, the casino may be uneasy over the prospect of an anticipated misfortune, which is a form of fear). In that sense, the casino will “fear” the rock-solid player who knows how to adapt and who knows how to take advantage of hot rolls. For example, if you bet only the Pass Line with Odds (as you mention in your comment) during a blistering hot roll, you’ll likely not win anywhere near as much as other players who adapt their betting patterns to take advantage of the hot streak. (Remember, hot and cold streaks do, indeed, occur in craps because of distribution variance http://www.crapspit.org/craps-math/distribution-variance-casinos/ )

      Thanks again for your comment. We encourage this type of dialogue because it serves to help everyone better understand the realities of the game, which is what we strive for here at the Crapspit.

      • Jesse Champion

        Agreed, “dice control” are the wrong words but one can influence many of the tumbles and that along with the variance factor works very well. Mathematics aside, physics has something you may wish to consider as well.

        • crapspit

          Hi Jesse, thanks for your comments.

          It sounds like you’re a proponent of dice control and you’re trying to make a case for its validity. No matter how you hard you try, you’ll never prove the validity of dice control to anyone other than suckers and dreamers.

          We accept that it’s possible (possible, but we believe it’s not probable) to control the dice consistently enough to influence how the dice tumble after hitting the tabletop, but no one can influence how the dice bounce off the pyramid rubber (i.e., the little rubber spikes) on the back wall. We go into detail about the rubber spikes in our articles, so we won’t reiterate it here in this post. http://www.crapspit.org/dice-control-scam/

          If you still believe in dice control after reading our articles ( http://www.crapspit.org/craps-dice/ ), then we’d like to challenge you to practice for the next 20 years (20 years ought to be enough time to master a dice-tossing technique). Then, if we’re all still alive in 20 years, we’d like to meet you in Vegas to watch you play a legal game of craps for ten two-hour sessions. The challenge must be spread over at least ten two-hour sessions because anyone and everyone, even a self-proclaimed dice doctor, can get lucky and have a single winning session. Prove us wrong and accept this challenge! At the end of the tenth session, we’ll see if you’re an overall winner or loser. If you’re an overall winner, maybe we’ll buy you a $50 steak dinner, but if you’re an overall loser, maybe you’ll by us one. The bottom line is that we believe dice control is a scam to get suckers and dreamers to spend their money on the products that the scammers sell.